The state should inform district hiring needs with key teacher supply and demand data. The bar for this goal was raised in 2017.
Teacher Production Data: Michigan recently published a White Paper entitled,"Trends in Michigan Teacher Certification: Initial Certificates Issued 1996-2016," which reports on trends in the issuance of initial teaching certificates in the state. Notably, the paper provides data regarding initial certificates and Michigan pupil count between 1996‐1997 and 2015‐2016, and the supply of initial certificates matched with the number of newly assigned teachers. It also provides the percentage and number of initial certificates by program type (elementary, secondary, occupational); the typical shortage areas, with the number of endorsements on initial certificates by subject area; and the STEM subjects, with breakout numbers of endorsements on initial certificates. However, no connection is made between these data and district-level hiring statistics, and consequently, this report provides an incomplete analysis of teacher production in Michigan.
Program Acceptance Numbers: Michigan collects data on teacher production by programs; however, there is no indication that it then provides these programs with guidelines surrounding the number of teacher candidates that should be accepted per subject area.
Publicly report information on teacher production.
Teacher preparation programs graduate more candidates each year than actually earn certification, and only some of those certified are ultimately hired to teach in the state. It is certainly desirable to produce a large enough pool to provide districts a choice in hiring, but a substantial oversupply of teacher candidates in some teaching areas serves neither the profession nor the students well. Michigan should strive to collect a rich set of data that can inform policy decisions, including graduates by program, ethnicity, and gender, as well as new hire information broken down by these levels. These data can then be used to determine, when connected with teacher program data, teacher shortage and surplus areas.
Provide clear guidance regarding program acceptance numbers.
Not only should Michigan collect data on teacher production by programs, it should also provide programs with guidelines surrounding the number of teacher candidates that should be accepted per subject area. By establishing clear parameters for its approved programs that govern how many teachers in each major certification area should be produced, Michigan will be on track to reduce the chronic surplus of teachers in some certification areas and increase the number of teachers in chronic shortage areas.
Michigan recognized the factual accuracy of this analysis, and was helpful in providing NCTQ with the facts necessary for this analysis. The state added that it does collect data on teacher production by program, but these data are not regularly published. They were last published for public consumption after the 2014-2015 school year. However, because the reports did not pass ADA accessibility requirements, they were removed from the state's website in 2016. Michigan provided an archived version of the page.
1B: Teacher Shortages and Surpluses
It is an inefficient use of resources for individual districts to build their own data systems for tracking teachers. States need to take the lead and provide districts with state-level data that can be used not only for the purpose of measuring teacher effectiveness, but also to gauge the supply and demand of teachers in the state. Furthermore, multiple years of data are necessary to identify staffing trends.
Many preparation programs graduate people who are certified to teach but do not get jobs in the classroom. Often times, this is because these teachers pursue certifications in areas that already have a surplus of teachers (e.g., elementary education), while districts struggle to find applicants to hire in other areas (e.g., special education, science). Given this misalignment between the teachers that teacher preparation programs produce and the hiring needs of school districts, the state should step in to establish a cohesive data reporting system. By creating reports that publicly delineate the number of teachers produced by each teacher preparation program (and therefore by certification area), the state will be better able to identify instances where the production of teachers does not match districts' needs.
Furthermore, the state should consider whether teacher preparation programs are supplying districts with the teachers they need when approving or re-approving programs. Teacher preparation programs exist primarily to prepare teachers for public school positions (approximately 88 percent of teachers work in public schools). If teacher preparation programs produce far more teachers than the state needs in some certification areas and far too few in others, the programs are failing to meeting their state's demand. Moreover, student teaching placements (which tend to be near candidates' teacher prep programs) are highly predictive of where candidates will get their first teaching jobs, therefore also allowing states the ability to predict which open positions are likely to be filled. Given that the preparation program's function is to supply the nearby area (and more generally, the state) with public school teachers, it is incumbent upon the state to make sure the program fulfills that responsibility— particularly through the collection and application of data on teacher production numbers and district demand— and to intervene when necessary by capping the number of teachers in certain certification areas that a program can produce.